The Impacts of Wholesale Market Rules and Policies on Clean Energy Goals

A Primer for Local Governments

Appendix B. Barriers to and Opportunities for Solar in MISO

Characteristics

The MISO footprint covers 15 states, including all or most of Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. Renewable energy, and especially solar, is expected to grow dramatically in MISO. As 2021, solar was the largest category of active projects in MISO’s interconnection queue, representing 61 percent of the capacity in the queue, with an additional 11 percent comprising hybrid resources, all of which included solar. Wind represented another 12 percent, and standalone storage equaled 10 percent (MISO 2021a). However, a significant portion of these projects will not be completed, as noted previously.

Figure B1 | MISO’s Footprint

Note: ISO = independent system operator.

Source: Sustainable FERC Project n.d.

Transmission Planning

Transmission will be essential to connecting additional renewable energy to load in the region. MISO’s analyses show that renewable energy could reach 30 percent of the energy mix in the region by 2026, and that a 40 percent renewables scenario will require a “massive deployment of transmission solutions” (Prabhakar et al. 2021, 51). As with many areas, renewable energy growth in MISO is not expected to occur uniformly on a geographic basis, with some areas expected to be close to 100 percent renewable when the region reaches 30 percent. MISO also found that having adequate transmission enables access to diverse, variable resources across the footprint. Because transmission also increases the interchange of resources with neighboring RTOs, this will likely better utilize the available and diverse resources across the entire Eastern Interconnection. These findings greatly underscore the need for sufficient transmission capacity (Prabhakar et al. 2021).

Compared to other RTOs, MISO’s transmission planning presents several opportunities for solar. One positive development was the use of a Multi-Value Project (MVP) approach to evaluate a portfolio of transmission projects in a more holistic manner that accounts for multiple benefits. Seventeen MVPs were approved in 2011 that were found to provide public policy, reliability, and economic benefits in the MISO footprint (which did not include MISO South at that time), all of which had been completed as of July 2021 (MISO 2021d). MISO has not replicated this MVP approach to planning since 2011, and transmission-related barriers to solar still exist within the ISO. Most transmission projects focus on the local reliability of the incumbent utility (Gramlich and Caspary 2021). In both the 2020 and 2021 MISO Transmission Expansion Planning (MTEP), the majority of the planned transmission expense is for “other projects,” most of which address local, rather than regional, needs—either to replace aging infrastructure or meet local reliability needs.11 Such projects accounted for 67 percent of the total transmission expense in the 2020 MTEP and 83 percent in 2021. No projects were proposed in the 2020 or 2021 MTEPs to support public policy needs.

The environmental sector in MISO has also pointed out that the 2021 draft MTEP contains overly conservative projections for future levels of renewable resources and does not reflect more recent changes in utility plans for the retirement of coal plants and increased construction of renewables (Azar 2021).

Another shortcoming in the MTEP process is that, as MISO acknowledges, non-transmission alternatives are not considered on a level playing field with transmission. One issue is that new generation or storage cannot be considered as an alternative to transmission unless it has a signed interconnection agreement; however, projects in the interconnection queue face significant delays, and other requirements for being selected as an alternative are not clearly specified (MISO 2022a). Moreover, several stakeholders have noted that MISO does not correctly model the dispatch of storage when determining its potential to alleviate transmission constraints and reduce the need for transmission (Peters 2021a). MISO does allow for a storage facility to be considered as a transmission-only asset in the transmission plan without an interconnection agreement. But a storage as transmission-only asset is restricted to transmission and cannot participate in the energy or ancillary services market (other than to receive or inject energy as needed to perform as transmission; MISO 2022b).

Interconnection

Clean energy supporters have expressed concern that MISO will not have sufficient transmission capacity to accommodate the growth of renewables in the region, and that the high interconnection costs for new resources, typically paid by the initial interconnecting resource, are causing renewable resources to rapidly drop out of the queue (Payne 2021). For example, an analysis by Grid Strategies found that between January 2016 and July 2020, 245 clean energy projects in advanced stages of the MISO generator interconnection process chose to withdraw from the queue. Grid Strategies reports that interviews with the owners of these projects indicate that network upgrade costs were the primary reason for withdrawing (Gramlich and Caspary 2021). A recent analysis of 12 potential network upgrades in MISO and the SPP by ICF Resources showed that 10 of these projects had positive benefits for the region, as measured by generation cost savings, and would also enable more renewable generation and reduce fossil fuel output (Sankaran et al. 2021).

In addition to these high costs, projects on the interconnection queue face a long wait, with MISO processing times estimated to last around three years (Gramlich and Caspary 2021).

One way to reduce the interconnection costs is to allow for the use of additional storage. This would mitigate transmission constraints and would not require additional transmission upgrades; however, MISO is not incorporating this option into the interconnection process (Peters 2021b).

Long-Term Planning

MISO has initiated a suite of efforts to address what it terms the Reliability Imperative. This is described as the “significant challenges” created by the growth of renewable resources, DERs, and demand response as well as more frequent extreme weather events (MISO 2021b, 23). These efforts include both changes to the markets and transmission planning.

As part of the Reliability Imperative, MISO has initiated a Long-Range Transmission Planning (LRTP) process that has been widely praised by multiple renewable energy supporters (Gignac and Gomberg 2021; Kowalczyk 2021; McIntire 2021; Payne 2021). LRTP involves planning for future transmission needs by modeling a range of different future scenarios and considering multiple drivers of the need for transmission, which will allow MISO to develop a transmission infrastructure framework for the influx of renewable resources and to maintain system reliability. The MISO stakeholder process continues to discuss which methodology should be used to allocate the costs of the LRTP projects.

Interregional Transmission Planning

MISO reports that on an annual basis, it works with the SPP and PJM to identify issues on the seams, perform studies, and jointly evaluate interregional transmission solutions that may be more efficient or effective than a regional solution (MISO 2021c).

In 2018, MISO’s Organization of MISO States (OMS) and the SPP’s Regional States Committee formed a liaison committee to identify issues and potential solutions to enhance the benefits from better coordinated seams policies (SPP 2018). MISO and the SPP then announced in 2020 that they would collaborate on a study designed to identify interregional transmission projects with comprehensive, cost-effective, and efficient upgrades (SPP 2020). MISO and PJM also announced in August 2021 that they would not initiate a coordinated study, noting that no interregional constraints or drivers were identified that would warrant such a study (Goldberg 2021). The Environmental Sector has urged MISO to engage in continued joint transmission planning with its neighbors, noting that doing so is essential to both ensuring reliability during extreme weather events and in a high renewable future (Azar 2021).

Capacity Markets and Accreditation

MISO operates a voluntary capacity market without a MOPR, which avoids a primary barrier that exists in ISO-NE, PJM, and the NYISO. Its resource adequacy measures are important, however, because they influence how the LSEs conduct their resource planning to comply with their reliability obligations (MISO 2020).

Because of the dramatic changes in its resource portfolio and increases in extreme weather events, MISO implemented the Resource Adequacy and Need initiative to revise its approach to resource adequacy. In November 2021, MISO filed a proposal with FERC outlining several changes to its resource adequacy methodology, including a seasonal standard, rather than only planning for summer peak load, and revised accreditation methods intended to measure the actual performance of resources at times of system stress (Kessler 2021). For thermal resources, this has involved a complex methodology to determine those hours when there is the greatest risk. Solar and wind accreditation would continue to use their current methodologies, with solar based on historical performance during specific hours of the day during each season and wind using a seasonal ELCC method (MISO 2021f).

The environmental sector in MISO expressed multiple concerns about the methodology being used for these resource adequacy changes during the stakeholder process, including that MISO may be including hours in the accreditation that do not represent a system risk, that the determination of a seasonal planning reserve margin may not be accurate, and generally whether MISO had conducted a sufficient analysis for a submittal to FERC (O’Connell et al. 2022). A majority of stakeholders voted in support of a motion asking MISO to delay the proposal until a number of concerns were addressed and a more robust analysis is performed, but MISO decided to file the proposal as planned (MISO 2021e).

MISO reports that requests to integrate hybrid resources are increasing. Although it has no operational experience with hybrid resources and no defined mechanism for their participation in the markets, it has submitted a proposal to FERC establishing a definition of a hybrid resource and a methodology for accrediting capacity from these resources (Blackwell 2021). The proposal was supported by the solar industry as a positive step in allowing hybrid resources to participate in MISO’s capacity market (Gallagher et al. 2021). MISO is, however, continuing to discuss hybrid resource market participation with stakeholders and may need to further refine its tariffs as hybrid resources begin operation and more data is available (Gallagher et al. 2021).

Energy and Ancillary Services Markets

Meanwhile, MISO has delayed the bulk of its effort to reform its scarcity pricing and consider new ancillary products. Ideally, energy and ancillary services reforms should be conducted in tandem with resource adequacy reforms because they are both aimed at ensuring that resources are available to respond when needed and are sufficiently flexible to respond to the variability of renewable resources.

Order No. 2222

As of June 2021, MISO had an estimated 7.2 GW of DERs, of which 31 percent were solar. Over 60 percent of the DER capacity is registered with MISO, almost all of which is demand response. Solar and demand response are the primary types of nonregistered residential DERs, and the nonregistered nonresidential DERs represent a greater variety of resources (OMS 2021).

Maximizing the participation of DERs will benefit solar directly and will also allow for more resources, such as demand response, which can balance the intermittency of solar. MISO is currently engaged with stakeholders to develop its compliance filing on Order No. 2222, to be filed in April 2022. Multiple stakeholders supporting DER integration have made suggestions to ease DER participation and avoid burdensome requirements, such as by allowing the submission of aggregated metered data, making the determination of whether there is double counting of wholesale and retail revenues at the DER registration process and not in each transaction, and avoiding costly telemetry requirements (Vickers 2021). Regardless of how well the MISO rules are designed, the distribution utilities will also play a critical role in facilitating DER participation in the wholesale markets.

Decision-Making and Stakeholder Processes

Several features of MISO’s governance structure provide greater opportunities for improvements in market rules and transmission planning.

Nonmember voting rights

The Environmental and Public Consumer Advocate Sectors each have two representatives, equal to an 8 percent voting share, in the Advisory Committee, and the State Regulatory Authority Sector has a 16 percent share. The Advisory Committee serves as a forum for stakeholders to provide input and recommendations to the MISO board. In the Planning Advisory Committee, which provides input to MISO staff on the transmission plan, each sector has an equal 10 percent weighted vote (Parent et al. 2021). These votes, however, are advisory, and MISO management and the board are not required to follow them. In other committees, such as the Resource Adequacy Subcommittee, each stakeholder (whether a member or not) has one vote, with such votes also considered advisory, as demonstrated by MISO’s decision not to delay the recent resource adequacy proposal as requested by a majority of subcommittee participants (Doshi 2021).

Transparent stakeholder processes

All meetings of the MISO board and committees are open to the public, except when the board is in executive session. Interested members of the public, including MISO stakeholders, can provide oral and written comments during the open portion of the board meeting.

Although the OMS, an independent organization representing the state regulatory authorities, does not have a role in selecting or removing MISO board members, representatives from the State Regulatory Authority and Public Consumer Advocate Sectors are eligible to serve on MISO’s board nominating committee.

A structured role for the Organization of MISO States

The OMS has a defined role in the transmission planning process, as described in detail in Attachment FF of the MISO tariff (MISO 2022b). The OMS can suggest modifications to MISO’s planning principles and objectives or to the scope of the regional plan; provide modeling inputs or assumptions and cost-benefit analyses for certain projects; express concerns that arise during the regional planning process; submit a reconsideration request for non-generation interconnection projects meeting certain criteria; and, at the end of the process, provide an assessment of the planning process to which MISO is obligated to respond (Parent et al. 2021). For example, the OMS provided feedback on the MTEP that included the importance of supporting local, state, and federal policy preferences (OMS 2021).

Moreover, the OMS can request, under certain circumstances, that MISO file an alternative transmission cost allocation approach under Section 205 of the Federal Power Act when MISO is planning to file a new or modified cost allocation proposal. Filing a proposal under Section 205 only requires a demonstration that the proposed change is just and reasonable. Without the ability to request a Section 205 filing, the alternative would be to file a complaint under Section 206, which requires a demonstration that the existing rule is not just and reasonable, a more difficult burden of proof (Chen and Murnan 2019).

Table B1 | Relevant Issues in MISO and Implications for Local Governments

Issue

Definition/Brief Explanation

Implications for Local Governments

MISO Status

Transmission planning

New transmission primarily developed for local, not regional, projects; does not fully incorporate planned renewable resources

Reduces access to renewable resources; creates inefficiencies and excess transmission costs

Initiated more holistic long-range transmission planning process

Interconnection and cost allocation

More progress has been made on cost allocation than in other RTOs, but many renewable projects drop out of the queue due to high interconnection costs

Can delay and increase cost of renewable procurement

Developed Multi-Value Projects in 2011, which recognized multiple benefits of transmission; cost allocation is being discussed for long-range transmission plans

Capacity accreditation

Current rules do not treat renewable and thermal resources in the same manner

Unbalanced valuation of renewables can create additional procurement costs

MISO has proposed a new accreditation for thermal resources, but it still may overstate their value; renewable resource accreditation has not yet been revised

Capacity markets/MOPR

Voluntary capacity market; no MOPR

Not an area of concern

Not applicable

Energy and ancillary services markets

Ancillary services market is expanding to address flexibility needs from the growth of renewables

Incentives for greater flexibility could better integrate renewables, but they may not have significant implications for bilateral procurement

Reforms to energy pricing under consideration that could incentivize additional flexibility and provide more revenue to renewable resources

Hybrid resource market participation

Established a definition for a hybrid resource and a methodology for accrediting hybrid capacity, but more work is needed

Improved market rules will ease the development of hybrid resources and improve procurement

Working with stakeholders to develop more rules for hybrid participation

DER wholesale market participation

Developing rules to allow for greater DER participation in the market within stakeholder processes

DER participation in the markets can allow more storage and demand-side resources to balance renewables, increasing the value of the contracts, and can provide additional revenue to local government-owned solar and storage resources

Proposed rule changes to include DERs in the markets will be filed at FERC in April 2022

Stakeholder processes

Transparent and open processes; vote given to the Environmental Sector, but stakeholder votes are advisory

Easier to participate in and have knowledge of MISO discussions than in other RTOs

No changes are planned for the stakeholder processes

Notes: DER = distributed energy resource; FERC = Federal Energy Regulatory Commission; MISO = Midcontinent Independent System Operator; MOPR = Minimum Offer Price Rule; RTO = regional transmission organization.

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